December 8, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Saratoga Sass 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Zecha 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Promise Me Roses 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Grand Banks 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Ramblin’ Ma’am 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Fiveinthemorning 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Missbigtimes 4.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Frederica 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Reyana Reya Dreams 50.00 7.5 14-1
9 8 Princess Alana 50.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Special Dividend 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sing for Beauty 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 My Won Love 2.50 SCRATCH
7 4 Lady Bergen 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Archumybaby 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Wilburnmoney 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 5 Moondance Joy 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Same Kinda Crazy 10.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Princess Pinky 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Midnitesalright 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Fight On Lucy 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Shelley Ann 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Flush 5.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Evan’s Nice Now 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Bee’snbee’s 15.00 7 13-1
10 10 Sander’s Empire 30.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Cheatham Hill 10.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Semaya 30.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bettor Bank On It 20.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Scotty Brown 2.00 2.1 4-1
8 7 Not That Brady 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Pier Forty 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Alphastest 8.00 4.4 8-1
11 10 Bobby Man 8.00 4.9 9-1
10 9 Overland 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Tordito’s Bank 20.00 6.6 12-1
7 6 Make Motime 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 3 No More Miracles 30.00 8.2 16-1
9 8 Tazmonian Devil 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Garland Of Roses S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dream Pauline 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Vertical Oak 1.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Sower 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 1 Yorkiepoo Princess 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Tigalalu 12.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bavaro 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Summer Bourbon 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Blue Belt 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 H Man 4.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Bluegrass Flash 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Mighty Zealous 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Ultimateenticement 8.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Samadi Sky 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Sol the Freud 12.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Glossy 2.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Hoponthebusgus 3.50 3.1 6-1
9 9 Miss Mystique 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Keota 4.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 Transaction Tax 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Enthusiastic Gal 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Sweet Offer 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Cleo 20.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Blissful Breeze 30.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pauseforthecause 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Bluegrass Jamboree 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Our Circle of Love 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Big Birthday 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Byself 4.50 4.5 8-1
8 8 Navajo 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Ipanema Beach 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Aunt Babe 30.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Dark Tricks 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Storm Alfeet 30.00 SCRATCH
15A 15 Theresa’s Boy 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Shuffling Madness 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Freudian Analyst 30.00 SCRATCH
2A 1 Cross Multiply 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 3 Devilry 6.00 3.2 6-1
14 11 Unsullied 1.80 3.4 6-1
12 10 Causforcelebration 12.00 5 9-1
11 9 No Worries Mate 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Eddie Boy 12.00 6 11-1
7 5 Valmont 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 6 Ninja Boys 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 4 Flat Out Jayvien 15.00 7.5 14-1
10 8 Santanoni 30.00 8.5 16-1
9 7 Blessed Honour 50.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.