December 8, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 King Formeredith 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Peerage 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hope for Value 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mickey 3.50 2.8 5-1
9 8 My Golden Tale 3.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Methuselah 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 2 Confederate Yell 6.00 4 8-1
6 5 Andy’s Production 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Inagent 15.00 5.7 11-1
10 9 Clancy’s Pepper 4.50 6.2 12-1
4 3 Fireman Isaac Max 30.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Mack’s Champ 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lucky Taylor 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fender Baby 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Darion’s Dream 2.50 2.4 5-1
1A 6 Flyin Artie 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 4 Taylor’s Princess 1.80 3 6-1
2 2 Poopsie Doopsie 6.00 4 8-1
7 5 Rockin Rah Rah 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 3 Long Cool Cowgirl 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Gladys’ Frontier 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Delightful Soul 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dr. Frankie Kaye 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Samurai’s Prize 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Somethingroyal P 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Safe Keeping 12.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Yankee’s Fanny 1.60 4.6 9-1
7 7 Toga Dance 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 One King’s Rose 30.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Racin Christina 30.00 7.5 14-1
11 10 Azuralee 15.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Crissy Tenpins 30.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Rosada’s Rose 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Brilliant Notes 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Crown Express 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Best Guess 4.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Alivia’s Lion 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 My Ruston 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Wild Appointment 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 In Full Swing 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Linnie Laurine 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Threepeat 30.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Indygo Rocket 15.00 7 13-1
10 10 Greeley’s Doll 15.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Big Count 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Into Wynning 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Callmechamp 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Town Boss 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Church of England 30.00 4.9 9-1
10 9 Disapproval 3.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Emma’s Logic 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Smooth Little Man 4.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Dream Nation 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Hudson’s Hunt 10.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Saint Dansant 30.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jack Be Quick 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 No Guts No Glory 15.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Biblical Strength 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 So Sorry Ruston 4.50 3.4 7-1
10 8 Mr. Graceful 4.00 4.5 9-1
4 3 My Prophet 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Angie’s Bling 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 5 Bud’s Mr. B 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 7 Emmett’s Dream 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 6 Shaboxxo 8.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Dusty Miller 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Battle Angel 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Shameful Gal 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Katie’s Bayou 3.50 3.4 7-1
7 7 A Thousand Reasons 1.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Take Charge Taylor 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Lons Finnish 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 This Is My Prayer 10.00 5 10-1
2 2 Glory Daze 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Beach Bling 30.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Shallow River 10.00 6.2 12-1
10 9 Best Kept Secret 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Our Easter Lily 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Sarah’s Holy Belle 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Bionic Butterfly 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Belle Force 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Musket’s Cup Cake 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Intensified 3.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Brahms Baby 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Inalyze 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Personal Double 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Spring Value 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Cavallotto 1.60 2.9 5-1
3 3 Ten Silver Pins 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Grand Hoga 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Arctic Tribe 20.00 3.7 7-1
8 6 Artist by the Sea 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 5 Forum Form 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Saponi 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Our Prince 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Reece’s Pal 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Tdz What a Dream 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Friend of Dubai 4.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Pre Heat 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Ryder Rocket 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 V Cross Gripper 30.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Sournois 8.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Noah’s Prince 12.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.