December 9, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Say Yes Again 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Lagniappe 1.20 2.6 5-1
1 1 Rule Taylor Rule 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Preemptive 5.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Kaydees in Town 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Snowball 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Weavemeawinr 2.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Creole Wildfire 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Red La Rosa 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Hannah Banana 3.50 4 7-1
2 2 L L L College Fund 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Much to Do 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Daylight Deelite 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Baby B Gone 10.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cats Beauty 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Hopette 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Betty Grable Eyes 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Runaway Romance 6.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Trust in Diane 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Smooth as Bourbon 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Spanish Arch 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Tizmyday 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Raven’s Rabbit (IRE) 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Blessed Union 3.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Awesome Figure 3.00 2 4-1
3 2 Good Business 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 3 Samba Breeze 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Hoptown Honey 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Golden Spur 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Calaveras 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Senorita Tapit 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 So Dramatic 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Squatchingwithlyss 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Ice Ghost 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Cry Like a Baby 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Twirlingontheedge 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Overly Sweet 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Smiley Briley 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Leavem Britten 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Spartanburg 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dyso 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Toodaloo to You 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Kool Aid Girl 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Katiebmeister 6.00 4.3 8-1
13 9 Lurey An 3.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Coast of La 4.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Gabby’s Half 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Vanishing Image 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 7 Wanna Snuggle 12.00 6.8 13-1
10 8 Freda’s Smooth Air 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 How Sweet It Is 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Haynesfest 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Upset Brewing 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 3 Alfresco 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Faith Healer 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 5 Devilite 4.50 4.7 9-1
7 6 Truth Goddess 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Temple City Terror 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ravenel 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Gamblin Train 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 British Invader (GB) 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Prado’s Encore 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Spider Dance 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Seeking a Star 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 8 Matt’s Honey 4.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Holly Molly Dolly 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Tupelo Hon E 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Chainmail 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 6 Farmavet 12.00 6.7 13-1
11 9 Nerissa 10.00 6.7 13-1
12 10 Ishtar 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 5 M C Squared 8.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Ed’s Rocket 8.00 SCRATCH
7 8 No Richie 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Concho 20.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Swamp Ruler 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 1 Cordero (IRE) 6.00 3.4 7-1
4 3 Sunny’s Rainbow 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 2 Bar Ryder 8.00 3.7 7-1
11 8 Sammy Wonder Stone 4.50 4.6 9-1
10 7 Express Lane 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 Chase the Bling 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 6 Chief Envoy 20.00 6.4 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.