Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 9, 2018

December 9, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Pat’s No Fool 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Her Royal Highness 1.60 2.6 5-1
5 5 End Result 1.80 2.6 5-1
2 2 Havennow 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Clara Allen 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Our Curlene 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Boolean One 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Leroy’s Sweetypie 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Facts Don’t Matter 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bagels and Lox 3.50 2.5 5-1
10 10 Gateau St Honore 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Racing Lightning 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Justanarch 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Parched Ghost 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Whenallelsefails 12.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Fearless and Lucky 10.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Scarlet Tanager 12.00 7.1 14-1
7 7 Princess Rosie 15.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Egber 30.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Merry Maid 20.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tiz He the One 0.80 2.7 5-1
6 6 Even Thunder 5.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Saratoga Jack 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Marengo Road 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Final Prospect 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Flashy Kyem 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Mo Knows 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Perfect Cross 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bizzy Boy 10.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Danz a Rebel 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Smile Bryan 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Going for Gold 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Egregious 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Mandatory Payout 12.00 5.3 10-1
11 10 Tbtwelve 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 War Lance 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Kustaafu 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Meetatbdubs 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 8 Fetching Gold 20.00 8.8 17-1
10 9 Sovereign Ruler 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Forty Acres 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Monkey’s Medal 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Candy Asset 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Maximian 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Done Acting 4.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Social Stranger 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Super Buddy 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Stadium 6.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Dattt Melody 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Hurricane Bear 15.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Savvy Street 30.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chief of Staff 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Took Over 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 C. D. Jammin 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Dr Bolt 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Key Mono 4.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Tradfest 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Smart Royal T 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Rest Assured 50.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Paz the Wine 4.50 SCRATCH
11 10 Girl Drama 3.50 2.5 5-1
8 7 Dancingwithpaynter 6.00 3.1 6-1
10 9 Gfour 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Petticoatsnpistols 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Missimard 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Sweet Walela 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Sharon’s Thunder 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Grand Lassie 30.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Jah Grace 12.00 7 13-1
1 1 Estrella Grande 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rumor Ridge 10.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Cilantro 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Miz Creed 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Firth 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Real Point 5.00 4 8-1
9 8 Hell of Afire 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Head for the Shore 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Lady Vicki 6.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Sugar Shack 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Animalistic 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Thalia’s Song 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 2 Doit for Spite 2.00 3 6-1
8 7 Tizadoozi 20.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Tidy Stripe 4.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Krantiguru 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Temple Sky 30.00 5.9 11-1
10 9 Whimsical Delight 15.00 6 11-1
5 4 Hold That Kiss 12.00 6.1 12-1
4 3 She Be Sassy 30.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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