Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 9, 2018

December 9, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pharaoh’s City 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Salt It Here 2.00 3 6-1
5 5 Rossie Val 6.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Collin’s Smile 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Gitidone 8.00 5 9-1
8 8 Estrickator 4.50 5.1 10-1
7 7 Student Union 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Mr. Charles 30.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Louie Lunchbox 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Decisively 1.40 2.4 4-1
6 6 Flat Out Flashy 4.00 4 7-1
7 7 Awe Mun 5.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 King’s Gold 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Back to Us 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 I Had to Laugh 30.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Shoeless 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Apachean 15.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Game Changer 20.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Lt. Columbo 30.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stroll Action 3.00 2.6 5-1
1A 1 Hasty Nic 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Gator Girl 1.80 4.5 9-1
4 4 Clarista 10.00 4.7 9-1
6A 6 Empty House 3.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Tears and Roses 15.00 5 10-1
5 5 La Vale 4.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Mymomsablond 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stretch’s Stone 1.40 2.3 4-1
3 3 Final Shot 1.60 3.3 6-1
4 4 Tally Mo 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Inky Dinky Do 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 For the Moment 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Swell 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Gemini Man 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Final Ritual 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Cool Fuse 15.00 SCRATCH
4A 4 Wizard of Odds 2.50 SCRATCH
5 3 Conscience 1.50 2.4 4-1
1A 1 Malibu High 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 4 Southerncommission 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 So Valor 30.00 4.3 8-1
9 6 I’m a Factum 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 5 Star of Sarava 30.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 One Tough Angel 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lookingforanewspot 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Dan’s Girl 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 5 Initforthelonghaul 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 3 Cognac Cutie 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Dean’s Ticket 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Sweetest Yet 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Don’s Escapade 12.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4B 4 Fireman Oscar 1.40 SCRATCH
1A 1 Vegas Strip 2.00 2.5 5-1
3A 3 Quality Asset 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Dirt in Your Face 4.00 3.5 7-1
7B 6 The Great Casby 1.40 3.8 7-1
5 4 Wendy Wend 10.00 5 10-1
6 5 Undeniable Temper 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 You’re No Saint 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 7 Howboutdempats 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Every Step 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Elevated 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 Mr. Romance 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Gurt Boys 1.40 3.8 7-1
2 1 Chasing My Halo 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Drosselmagic 30.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 These Blues 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Sunshine Mark 30.00 6.4 12-1
10 9 Corsario 15.00 6.5 12-1
9 8 Runs for Luck 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shiitake 3.00 2.5 5-1
1A 1 Brockton George 5.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Bennyluvspoker 4.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Lori’s Folly 10.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Pahall Revear 6.00 5.7 11-1
8A 8 Speedy A. P. 5.00 6 11-1
4 4 Ninetyeighttwo 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Final Blessing 15.00 7 13-1
10 10 Diamond Setter 8.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Staynsidethecircle 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 True Blue 30.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 Sky Banshee 20.00 9.2 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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