December 9, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Light My Path 2.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Hassah (GB) 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Articulate 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 1 Capucine 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 2 Pretty Two Faced 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Capture Your Heart 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Image of Lucy 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Ethereal Miss 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Silent Jet 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Red Frog 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 Downy Boy 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Fahrenheit 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Lafleur 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Andwhatdoeshedo 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Courting a Kiss 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Kilkenny Prospect 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Mambointheforest 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Carmenootz 1.60 2.6 5-1
5 5 Kaili’s Big Boy 12.00 4 7-1
3 3 Fast Negotiations 2.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Royal Laser 4.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Gasconade 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Letthebighossroll 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Fullthrottle Kid 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 D’s Ben 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bayerd 1.60 2.7 5-1
4 4 Ted W 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Occasional View 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Slip Kid 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Roxy’s Vision 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Arthur’s Pass 6.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Silent Contempt 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Ault 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Escondera 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Strut N Stomp 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Propensity 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Skywire 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 A Song for Artie 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Denmark 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Cerrado 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Gottoknowrightnow 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Last Sunrise 6.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Keon 10.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 True Dat 15.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Ontario Lassie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Scat’s Rose 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Western Curl 1.80 3.2 6-1
3 3 Lady Azalea 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Hastalavistababy 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Artilena 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Notice Me 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Crumlin Time 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Moksgmol 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Honig 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Mo Gee 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Lapochka 6.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Who’s Got It 4.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Canmore 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Follow My Lead 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Macho Dancer 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Leonard’s Bay 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Remembermis 15.00 6.9 13-1
13 13 Courtly Manner 15.00 8 15-1
12 12 Coleyville 20.00 9 17-1
8 8 Red Bo 30.00 10.2 19-1
2 2 Zephan 30.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Valedictory S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Pumpkin Rumble 1.80 2.2 4-1
7 7 Melmich 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 English Illusion 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Vintage Matters 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Seeking Albert 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 A. A. Azula’s Arch 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Bowsprit 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Bangkok 20.00 7 13-1
8 8 Ethical Funds 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Scotty’s Model 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Malibu Bonnie 3.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Veil 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Blurricane 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Spring in the Wind 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Sparkles’ Girl 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Red Explosion 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Miss Savvy 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Spring Forward 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Perfect Road 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Red Sails 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ring for Essa 30.00 SCRATCH
10 7 Sadie Irene 3.00 3.2 6-1
13 10 Potra Liza 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 5 Flashinthepants 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 4 Stormy Vision 10.00 5.1 10-1
11 8 Penny a Point 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 2 Evil Woman 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Unrivaled Soul 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 3 Dubhe 15.00 7.4 14-1
14 11 I Have Feelings 12.00 7.7 15-1
12 9 Slovenia 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 6 La Dolce Uno 30.00 8.2 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.