Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 16, 2019

August 16, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Love Train 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Jess a Moon 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Rbdtopprospect 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Easy Ocean Breeze 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Vals Royal Rose 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Dlj Papa Henderson 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Jessys Jet 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Blood Drive 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Jla Grand Baby Shake 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Jf American Babe 12.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Nl Rebs Special Doc 1.60 1.4 3-1
8 8 Coronas Going by You 4.50 2.3 4-1
10 10 Dyslexic 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Golding Boy 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Srf Stash a Lil Cash 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 One Famous Deoh 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Toast the Game 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Silence Ta Dash 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Play It Again Shiney 12.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Marks Women Will 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wupkar 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Jbj Micah Jordan 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Candy Guy Kisses 4.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Cosino Quick 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Running for Coronas 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Igotyourstreak 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Fantasy N a Bottle 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Askin for Greatness 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Tm Candy Maker 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Rm First Down Pride 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Shawee 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Cecala 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Fast Dashing Diva 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Ms Agouti Dash 10.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Run for Us Run 10.00 5 9-1
9 9 Fastdown 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Showed Ya 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Three R Zoomin 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Tee Ojo 8.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Kingslayer 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dashn for Moonlight 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Lrh Mojo Rising 8.00 4 8-1
6 5 Shonuff Mvp 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Heisasgoodasheis 8.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 A Nother Zoobilee 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Lrh Jet Black 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Tempting Goinbye 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Diamondinthefront 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Jess Runawaytogether 12.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Heza Bell Perry Jr 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Openup the Bar 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Tf Rebs Lil Runaway 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Private First Prize 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Leaving in a Rush 4.50 4.5 9-1
10 10 Fpj Blazen Fast Ryon 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Embrujo Mountain 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Jla Live Action 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Jet Jessy 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Hez Fast Yall 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Rosies Corona 12.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Gentilly Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 The Cazador 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Jls Tee Cos Jr 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Jess Leaving Fast 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Fast N Famous Eagle 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Gunna Be Alright 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Hot Prize 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Jess a Boy 6.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Vallerro 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 A Fast Ram 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Audubon S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lil Biscuit 4.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 First Game Chick 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Rogue One 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Fastdashing Lassie 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Im for Real 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Google Chrome B 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 High and Caliente 3.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Monees Fast Cash 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Flamin Hot Fortune 8.00 7 13-1
2 2 Corona Prize 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Treme S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jets Fast Dash 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Rf Fast Dash N Blue 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Soft On the Coronas 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Heza Made Man 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 7 Achievopiloto 20.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Igottarampage 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Mr Range Rover 4.50 5.2 10-1
9 8 Guidry Pride II 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Game Overtime 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Rogue One 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Jf Sizzlin Feature 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Dreaming West 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 King Intriguing Blue 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Mr Achievement B 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Dracarys 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Apollitical B Snow 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Bg Patriot 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Good Lookin 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Jrs Shining Fantasy 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Maganomics 12.00 6.9 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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