Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 16, 2019

August 16, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Junipero Avenue 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Tizcreetly 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Fantasize 10.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 High Society 4.50 6.8 13-1
9 9 Red Clay Road 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Jericho Marsh 8.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Merry Merry Mojo 20.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 America’s Prince 15.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 The Walk 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bella Aurora 2.00 4 8-1
1A 1 Magical Anna 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 The Roving Kind 4.50 6.5 12-1
9 9 Luck Money 5.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Amarin 6.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Fortuna 6.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Indehere 20.00 9.8 18-1
3B 3 Midship Lady 10.00 13.3 25-1
4B 4 More Or Less 10.00 SCRATCH
10A 10 Maybe an Omen 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dapper Mun 1.60 3.7 7-1
7 7 Orient Point 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 I’m Flattered 3.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Ummu Ummu Ummu 4.50 6.2 12-1
2 2 Shadow Boxer 15.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 L’Overture 4.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Luv the Painter 20.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Artful Splatter 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Jabuticaba 4.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Lady Lucy 20.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Ravenel 3.50 7.3 14-1
4 4 Janelle Dreams 5.00 7.9 15-1
12 12 Lulu’s On the Move 10.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Arbutus 8.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Congrats Graduate 20.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Life in Flash 12.00 10.5 20-1
2 2 Manhattan Lady 50.00 12.4 23-1
7 7 Dancing Contessa 12.00 12.7 24-1
6 6 Nosey Josy 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Eppur Si Muove 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stand My Ground 3.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Alibi Breakfast 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Junior Senator 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 The Mormon Mauler 4.50 7.5 14-1
3 3 Senor Seville 3.50 7.9 15-1
8 8 Kamehameha 4.50 8.1 15-1
2 2 Auld Lange Syne 10.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Aladdin Sane 10.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Drill Ur Skills 1.80 3.7 7-1
7 7 The Drake 3.50 5.9 11-1
5 5 Roof Top Bar 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Abuelo Paps 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Stone Courageous 8.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Invitation Only 4.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Kid Macho 6.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shimmering Aspen 2.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Anna’s Bandit 2.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Majestic Reason 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 I’ll Take the Cake 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Trace of Grace 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Squan’s Kingdom 12.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mia Gift 4.50 4.1 8-1
11 11 Old Line Magic 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Height of Thestorm 5.00 6 11-1
6 6 Judi Blue Eyes 3.50 7.7 14-1
1 1 Echo of Victory 5.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Enyo 15.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Hanky Panky 12.00 10.3 19-1
2 2 Megalomania 8.00 10.8 20-1
9 9 Whispurring Kitten 10.00 11.6 22-1
10 10 Tiz Social 20.00 11.8 22-1
7 7 Kickstartmyheart 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Summering 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Kailee (IRE) 6.00 5.6 10-1
11 11 Vortex Road 4.50 5.6 10-1
1 1 More Fun Again 4.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Believe Indeed 8.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Shes a True Beauty 6.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Monkeys Uncle 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Not in Jeopardy 6.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 So Innocent 15.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 Tex Mee a Kiss 20.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Moon Virginia 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Down in the Holler 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Iron Lion 3.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Lovely Games 3.50 5.3 10-1
8 8 Wilko’s Goldeneye 5.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Chocomount 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Majestic Doctor 4.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Jeddo 30.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Cross Multiply 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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