Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 16, 2019

August 16, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Barleewon 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Turbo Drive 4.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Driftwood 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Kobe 12.00 7.8 15-1
9 8 Victory Built 10.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Maxwell Esquire 6.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Noble Emotion 8.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Inside Info 6.00 9.1 17-1
6A 6 Mo Ready 5.00 14 26-1
11A 10 Managing Risk 5.00 17 32-1
8 8 Cold Hard Cash 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Splicethemainbrace 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Walkoff 2.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Dunph 3.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Olympic Village 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Family Biz 8.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Shock Therapy 6.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Johny’s Bobby 4.50 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Value Engineering 1.80 5.7 11-1
4 4 Bail Out 3.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Shennan (IRE) 3.50 7 13-1
3 3 Tiberius Mercurius 6.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Lookin At Roses 15.00 8 15-1
7 7 Overbold 8.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Corcoran 20.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Hellorhighwater 10.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Kathy’s Cause 6.00 7.7 14-1
11 10 Lookbothways 3.50 7.9 15-1
2 1 Annette’s Humor 6.00 8.1 15-1
6 5 Tarallucci 4.50 8.2 15-1
8 7 Prairie Fire 8.00 9 17-1
10 9 Beans N Rice 12.00 9.8 18-1
7 6 Wailin Josie 8.00 9.9 19-1
5 4 Plimsoll Anny 30.00 11.7 22-1
3 2 Flattering Eyes 12.00 12.3 23-1
12 11 Sarah’s Rainbow 50.00 13.9 26-1
4 3 Let’s Maga 15.00 14.3 27-1
1 1 Appletini 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 If I Knew 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Do Share 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Fuel the Bern 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Mucho 3.50 4.5 9-1
3 2 Cove Blue 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 1 Life in Shambles 2.50 6.4 12-1
4 3 Blue Belt 15.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Tiz He the One 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Zabava 4.50 4.1 8-1
8 7 Psalmody 1.40 5.9 11-1
7 6 Grand Banks 10.00 6.9 13-1
10 9 Theodosia 12.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Clockstrikestwelve 3.00 7.6 14-1
9 8 Codrington 8.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Discreet Image 10.00 9 17-1
6 5 Promise Me Roses 20.00 10.4 20-1
4 4 Princess Mikayah 50.00 11.7 22-1
5 5 Carlisle Belle 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Aquaphobia 4.00 5 9-1
1 1 Up the Ante 2.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Maraud 4.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Multiplier 3.50 6.3 12-1
7 7 Zapperini 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Harlan’s Harmony 8.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Lunaire 8.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Majestic Affair 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ratajkowski 1.60 2.2 4-1
4 4 Paved With Gold 4.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Because of Susan 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Singular Sensation 8.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Beyond Discreet 10.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Party in the Sand 20.00 10.9 21-1
1 1 Peaches and Spice 30.00 11.4 21-1
7 7 Behind the Couch 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Skidmore S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Another Miracle 1.40 3.4 6-1
6 6 Montauk Daddy 2.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Proven Strategies 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Frosted Rose 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Memorable 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Venerate 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Now Is 10.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 River Hawk 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Prince Halo 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Paynter’s Prize 3.00 5.2 10-1
10 8 Causforcelebration 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 2 Awesome Adversary 4.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 Mr. Vincent 6.00 7.4 14-1
12 10 Will’s Bay 15.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Talespin 10.00 8.6 16-1
7 6 Big Wonder 20.00 10.1 19-1
5 4 I’m Elmer J Fudd 12.00 10.3 19-1
11 9 Burkey’s Bro 20.00 10.7 20-1
2 2 Seven Plus Seven 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Blue Parrot 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Chuckles 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Ridolfo 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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