Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 16, 2019

August 16, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Victor’s Destiny 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Summer Retreat 2.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Metadata 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 My Marc Andre 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Dancing Derek 6.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Executive Retreat 12.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Prized River 12.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Earthquakedirector 8.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ethanol 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Tobruk 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Diddley 3.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Forester’s Forum 3.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Colleen’s Sailor 6.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Phil in the Blank 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Jurojin 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Nupogodi 20.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Slip Kid 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Decorated Soldier 1.40 4 7-1
5 5 Love That Lute 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 R U Watchingbud 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Souper Fly Over 8.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Kitten’s Solution 6.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Conquest Eliminatr 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Grom 20.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Scat Big Dad 2.50 5.1 10-1
5 4 Zoomer Music 6.00 5.4 10-1
10 9 Bens Last Call 4.00 6.9 13-1
4 3 Chilling Secret 10.00 7.1 13-1
7 6 Silent Blaze 8.00 7.2 14-1
8 7 Miriam’s Sky 3.00 8.1 15-1
9 8 Hope Vision 20.00 8.9 17-1
6 5 Hard Luck Charlie 20.00 9.6 18-1
3 2 Just Run With It 12.00 10.9 21-1
2 2 Handsome Like Me 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Darren’s Fortune 1.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Stash the Cash 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Hard Worker 10.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Thxforbeinmyfriend 20.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Winsroy 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Triglav 8.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Boomba Brad 3.50 9.9 19-1
5 5 Watch This 20.00 10.7 20-1
7 7 Danzigity 20.00 12.3 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Victor’s Flag 3.00 5 9-1
9 9 Sportscaster 12.00 5.6 10-1
7 7 Admirals Cove 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Money Talks 6.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Smooth Passage 12.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Party At Eight 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 The Other Breeze 3.50 8.6 16-1
3 3 You’re Batman 12.00 9.3 17-1
10 10 World of Prospects 15.00 11.3 21-1
4 4 Cordero (IRE) 20.00 11.4 21-1
11 11 Cape Romance 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 10 Strike Revenge 3.00 5 9-1
6 6 Frobisher Bay 4.00 6 11-1
4 4 Vividari 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Fritzie’s Boy 10.00 7.1 13-1
10 8 Big Classic 6.00 8.2 15-1
14 12 Bitethebulletbro 8.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Rockbarton 20.00 9 17-1
11 9 Seamus 20.00 9 17-1
3 3 Poquito Bandito 20.00 9.3 18-1
13 11 Meant to Tell You 20.00 11 21-1
8 7 Lillz Not Crying 12.00 11.1 21-1
2 2 Kinlee’s Song 20.00 11.4 21-1
7 7 Lauderdale 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Eboracum 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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