Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 17, 2019

August 17, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rebas Louisiana Blue 4.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Flash of Light 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Brileys Prize 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Jess a Runaway Blaze 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Isnt He Hot 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Ho Lotta Pazzazz 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Lsu Special 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Tf Toasted Runaway 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Jess a Cajun 12.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ed O 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Special Politico 1.60 2.5 5-1
2 2 No Freight 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Bad Bad Hombre 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 First Magic Runaway 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Runaway Blue 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Dashin Undercover 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Jesslouisianamoshine 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Hqh Platinum Fire 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Couldabeen a Hero 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Jrs Coronas Toast 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Make Mine Separate 3.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Ld Big John Leaving 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Sail Away 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Salt Train Coming 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Adored Runaway 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Sneaking Suspicion 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Drink Up Edna 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tdz Sir Sash 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Perfect Professional 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Leavin You Blue 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Ms Diamond Prize 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Kiss My Six 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Hez Jess a Cartel 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Ds Five Bar Memory 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Taylor Made Cartel 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Girlsingtheblues 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Tdz Jet Black Down 1.20 2.3 4-1
4 4 Jess Redwhiteandblue 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Maggies Runaway 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Politically Blue 10.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 L a Sugar Shack 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Ajs Victory Beers 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Rl First Homerun 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Original Martini 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Pk Heza Blazen Rogue 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 A True Patriot 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Man On the Beach 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Sir Runaway Cash 4.50 3.1 6-1
10 10 Tim the Tax Man 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Allways Ready 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Speedy Piloto Gee 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 One Fancy Corona 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Eye Sang the Blues 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Jaymison 12.00 7 13-1
6 6 Runaway Jets 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shes a Cartel 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Rf Debs Patriot 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 A Quick First 4.50 3.5 7-1
10 9 Patriot On Ice 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Corona Crazy 4.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Princess Win a Lota 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Runaway Thorns 20.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Super Sundee 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 Frosted 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Jls Shezafastwagon 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mr Sixy Piloto 1.80 2.1 4-1
8 8 Blueacrossyourmind 4.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Louisiana G Eye 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Flint River Vodka 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Some Quick Politic 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Annas Martigras 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Jet Black Bear 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Eves Fast Rogue 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 One for the Legend 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Savannashighestfire 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Runaway Second Down 1.60 1.9 4-1
8 7 Train of Diamonds 4.00 2.4 4-1
9 8 Baby Freighttrain 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Rh Jess Momo 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Budman 6.00 4.8 9-1
10 9 Jrs Coronas Gatorgal 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Mama Caught Da Train 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Rogues First Candy 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Black Moon Risen 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Jet Tempted 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Jla Getsum 3.50 2.1 4-1
10 10 Yall Its a Train 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Run Away Cache 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 El Dorado Stone 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Fury of Corona 4.50 4 8-1
4 4 Good Timing Mann 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Firefighter Captian 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Heza Streakin Cash 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Rdd Pure Sensations 12.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Really a Doll 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Love the Way You Fly 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Barnett Cartel 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Love Me Some Cuervo 4.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Swamp Cartel 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Steam Rollyr 10.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Bam Bam High On Fire 5.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Pollitically Correct 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Hezaa Fast Boy 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Struttin Free 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Louisianablue Effort 20.00 6.5 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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