Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 17, 2019

August 17, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Outofthepark 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Rising Perry 4.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Go Lover 15.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Bold Trek 15.00 8.1 15-1
13 13 Slippin Jimmy 15.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Bold Hunter 30.00 8.9 17-1
8A 8 Bourbon and Ice 5.00 9 17-1
9 9 Cark 15.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Little Bay 20.00 10.9 21-1
14 14 Royal Kibosh 10.00 16.3 31-1
2A 2 Fernwood Drive 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Start With Yes 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 C C Old Fashioned 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ziggy Mon 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cold Sweat 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Guilty 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 D W Fitz 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Forfiftyfiverocket 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Tommy Shelby 4.50 5.8 11-1
2 2 Bricktop 3.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Scorched by Fire 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Stickingtogether 1.80 6.4 12-1
2 2 Coin Operated 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Magical Luna 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Patriotic Punch 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Maybe an Omen 4.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Polished Copper 4.50 8.7 16-1
7 7 Steady Love 6.00 9.3 18-1
8 8 Twirling Wind 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Joseph 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Fearless Terp 10.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Street Copper 3.50 6 11-1
1 1 Cannon’s Roar 8.00 7 13-1
4 4 Smile for Eternity 3.50 7.6 14-1
2 2 Jammer 2.50 7.8 15-1
5 5 Lord of Misrule 30.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Daystrike 10.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Padrino’s Heart 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Me Darlin Kara 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Railmaster 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bustoff 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lunar Rille 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Belial 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Hail to Leader 4.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 My T Talk 3.50 6.6 12-1
3 3 Sarah’s Treasure 3.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Justa Scoch 12.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Brushing 6.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Friend Me Charlie 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dendrobia 3.00 5.6 10-1
7 7 Go Magician Go 2.50 6.4 12-1
11 11 Sudden Hope 6.00 7 13-1
10 10 Misty On Pointe 5.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Gallanor 30.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Slewzer 10.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Eifs 12.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Blameitonthekiss 30.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Awesome Jazz 10.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Shecor 10.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Atlantic Avenue 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Grace Isabella 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Star De Naskra S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Distant Shore 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Hall Pass 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Tappin Cat 8.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Where Paradise Lay 3.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Great Herman 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Thatwouldbegrand 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Seven On the Rocks 15.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Trifor Gold 10.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Sky Magician 15.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – All Brandy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Monte Crista 2.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 My Sistersledge 1.40 5.1 10-1
4 4 Ghoul’s Night Out 4.00 6 11-1
3 3 Sunrisebernsteini 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Annie Boo Boo 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Irony of Reality 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Good Roll 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Victory Rally 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Find S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 English Minister 2.50 4 7-1
5 5 Belfour 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 O Dionysus 3.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Just Howard 1.40 5.3 10-1
3 3 Taxable Goods 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Bonus Points 6.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Miss Disco S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Introduced 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Bunting 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Past Perfect 3.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Miss Guided 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Ten Oaks Miss 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Never Enough Time 1.60 SCRATCH
6 6 Hickory Made 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gone Home 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Eje Gama 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Top Hat Treason 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Once in a Lifetime 2.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Bubba Seventy Six 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Maryland Bandit 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Sojourner 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sunday Red 0.80 2.2 4-1
4 4 Mabel’s Fable 15.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Princess Rosie 2.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Controllingthegold 4.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Inflight 30.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Possebly a Lover 20.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Buddha Kai 30.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Beautiful Estrella 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 More Better 1.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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