Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 17, 2019

August 17, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cause for Alarm 3.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Lafleur 12.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Just for Rose 8.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Just Kitten You 2.50 8.6 16-1
6 6 Bear Treasure 6.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Kyslios’s Justice 12.00 11.6 22-1
5 5 Madsam 10.00 13.1 25-1
8 8 Everglow 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sevencomingout 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Vaughan 5.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Big Blind 4.50 7.9 15-1
5 5 Where’s the Gold 2.50 8.2 15-1
4 4 Gunner Ben 3.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Street Cat Sam 4.00 9.8 19-1
3 3 Pineda 20.00 11.9 22-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Foxxy Belle 1.60 4.4 8-1
3 3 My Borrowed Angel 2.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Dynatown 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Bear Kitty 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Marcherdowntheally 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Moksgmol 6.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Canadian Magic 4.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ready and Perfect 3.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Maritime Breeze 5.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Slydini 10.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Pioneerof New York 4.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 It’s Vengeance 20.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Dashing Angel 15.00 9 17-1
6 6 Choose Hope 10.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Stranded 6.00 10.2 19-1
3 3 Intermittent 10.00 11.2 21-1
11 11 Mahone Bay 20.00 11.8 22-1
2 2 Beach Bar 8.00 13.9 26-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Nevaeh’s Valentine 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Where’s the Widget 2.00 5.1 10-1
5 3 Lapochka 4.00 6.1 11-1
8 6 Riker 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 2 Surgical Strike 3.00 8.2 15-1
6 4 Gorgeous Kitten 10.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Red Bo 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Be Vewy Vewy Quiet 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Dancing Doll 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Ka Gee Gee 2.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Patton’s Girl 2.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Real Coal 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Fact Checking 12.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 Just Bling It 10.00 11.5 22-1
6 6 I’ll Take the Gold 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Catch A Glimpse S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fast Scene 1.60 3.5 7-1
5 5 Take Charge Eh 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Western Taffy 4.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Fair Maiden 1.80 6.3 12-1
3 3 Muskoka Dancer 12.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Saratoga Vision 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 The Good Witch 15.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Forester’s Destiny 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Who’s Got It 2.00 7.3 14-1
5 4 Gray Phantom 12.00 7.5 14-1
6 5 Differential 4.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Guitar George 3.00 8.3 16-1
8 7 Bourbon Extension 6.00 9.9 19-1
2 2 Freitag 8.00 10.6 20-1
4 4 Greenfield 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Veil 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Burbank Road 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Gold Lace 2.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Killag Katie 3.50 7.3 14-1
7 7 Sanity 10.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Blurricane 10.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Charmaine’s Mia 15.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Magic Spell 2.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Breeders’ S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Avie’s Flatter 2.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Tone Broke 2.50 6.9 13-1
9 9 Encierro 4.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 He’s a Macho Man 6.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Rising Star 10.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Seguimi 20.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Pay for Peace 20.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 Lucas n’ Lori 8.00 10.1 19-1
2 2 Flashymeister 20.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Miss Mo Mentum 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Lunar Garden 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 3 Oh Zap 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Ladies Night 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Starship Jubilee 0.20 SCRATCH
4 4 Cartabianca (FR) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 9 Now We Are Nine 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Quality Brew 3.00 5.3 10-1
8 6 Lucky Street 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Our Uncle Drew 4.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Rapid Fire 15.00 6.5 12-1
12 10 Deputy of Egbert 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Dance Empire 5.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Gideon’s Sword 12.00 6.9 13-1
7 5 Uncle Howard 15.00 7.1 13-1
5 4 Apollo Benfica 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 8 Capture the Ride 8.00 8.2 16-1
6 6 Cerrado 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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