Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 14, 2019

September 14, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Social Stranger 1.60 1.9 4-1
1 1 Stand Guard 2.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Now We Are Free 4.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Ride This Train 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Drops and Buckets 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Mid Ocean 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 R Way to Escape 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Sweet Tandy 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Patty Mac’s Girl 4.50 4 8-1
2 1 Greta Greta Boo 15.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Trappe Play 8.00 8.5 16-1
3B 2 Case Dismissed 4.00 9.5 18-1
4B 3 Polarization 4.00 10.5 20-1
1A 1 Dancing Cool 2.00 SCRATCH
9A 9 Given Achance 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Polished Steel 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 King Dublin 3.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Imasuperstar 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Dutch Blitz 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Emmett’s Dream 1.80 5.6 11-1
5 5 Matter of Factor 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stolen Love 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Charging Lion 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Race Me Home (IRE) 2.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Hayne’s Fever 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Monkey’s Medal 8.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Linda’s Nekia 8.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Philly Completely 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Nautical Nature 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 4 Dramatized 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 7 Tizanoxbow 4.50 4.8 9-1
8 6 Perdido Bay 3.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Baravelli 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Devilry 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 John’s Promise 8.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Withjustasplash 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Unlimited Upside 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Frontier Woman 8.00 3.9 7-1
11 8 Emo 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 The Roving Kind 3.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Premier Justice 8.00 6.8 13-1
5 4 Yougottabekitten 8.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Indehere 20.00 8.6 16-1
6 5 Guilty Lady 12.00 8.9 17-1
12 9 J Spice 12.00 10.4 20-1
2 2 Susi Sole 20.00 10.6 20-1
4 4 Welsh Gold 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Congress Hall 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Baby Bam Bam 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Epic Drama 4.50 2.4 5-1
7 4 Call Wil 3.50 3.2 6-1
9 5 Yay You 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 1 Scout’s Honor 2.00 4.5 9-1
5A 2 Wild Wigglin Jack 8.00 18.5 35-1
1 1 Uncle Youdge 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Big Gillette 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Private Party 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Colonel Red 20.00 SCRATCH
10A 10 Taco 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Meo Desperado 4.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Baytown Glory 2.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Caprivi Strip 3.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Meetmeatthewire 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Sunni Blaze 6.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Ranger’s Coming 10.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Quick Man 8.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Leaping Empire 12.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Arnina 20.00 10.4 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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