Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 14, 2019

September 14, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Reorganize 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Slick Star 3.50 4.6 9-1
11 9 Dad’s Yankees 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 6 Unequal 4.50 5.7 11-1
4 4 Dream of God 8.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 My Man Mike 12.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Captain Cholo 15.00 8.1 15-1
10 8 Government Cut 20.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 Judge Hudson 15.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Goldenlineof 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fritzen 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Country Strong 2.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Hot Fudge Honey 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Cousin Newyork Fay 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Lady Player 6.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Welly 4.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Handsome Girl 3.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Panda 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Miss Lotus Flower 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Eric the Salesman 3.50 4.9 9-1
10 9 Tangible 3.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Yawl Lyin 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Silver Beach 6.00 7.2 14-1
9 8 Accountant Q 4.50 7.4 14-1
3 3 Malio’s 8.00 7.9 15-1
6 5 Stuck With You 12.00 8.5 16-1
7 6 Pure Luck 30.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Homedrill 15.00 9.9 19-1
5 5 Fuzzy Kitten 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Guerreron 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Zeroed In 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Danzar 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Castillete 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Tapability 4.50 5.8 11-1
4 4 Armando R 1.60 6.3 12-1
6 6 Duellist 6.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Raspberry Ballet 3.50 8.2 16-1
5 5 Golden Opportunity 20.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Global Entry 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Can’t Trump Kitten 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Themanbehindtheman 2.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Paynter’s Boy 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Remember the Maine 4.50 6.1 12-1
8 8 Hot and Heavy 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Colin a Winner 15.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Chief White Sox 15.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Epic Junior 12.00 10.9 21-1
10 10 Bondetti 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Love Tree 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Starship Apollo 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Big Boy Bruno 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Big Spender 2.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Dark Ages 3.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Oh Danny Bear 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Vinnie Van Go 4.50 6 11-1
7 7 Rayo My King 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Mr. Edgar 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Why Trust 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Gettinintomischief 20.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Nine Point Five 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Took a Cab 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Budget Buster 4.50 5.7 11-1
11 11 Earthquake 12.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Exatlon 12.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Mr. Who 15.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Itsmyluckyknight 10.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Mister Noisi 12.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 Angelus Warrior 4.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Indy Ride 20.00 9.9 19-1
5 5 Alton Bay 8.00 10.4 20-1
10 10 Dohko 15.00 11.3 21-1
13 13 Tone Feelin 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Oil Colony 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Warriors Wolf 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Tovar Y Tovar 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Mudslide Wicked 20.00 6 11-1
10 7 Charge Account 3.50 6.2 12-1
5 4 Drill’s Valentine 4.00 6.4 12-1
8 5 Chit Chat Girl 6.00 9.5 18-1
9 6 Urkillingmebeth 8.00 10.2 19-1
11 8 Trinni Love 20.00 10.2 19-1
4 3 Wild Cooper 5.00 10.6 20-1
3 2 Awesome the Maria 15.00 14 26-1
1 1 Magnitude Ten 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Storm Delite 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Drill’s Girl 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Pink 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Cat Cay 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Shadday 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Kelsey’s Cross 1.80 5.2 10-1
3 3 Our Closure 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Isadorable Aida 5.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Passion Plus 6.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Bello Porte 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Trilby 8.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Malibu Rainbow 12.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Chilled Milk 15.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 La Australiana 12.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Callie California 20.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Money Factor 20.00 10 19-1
12 12 Yes Factor 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Flashing Diamond 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sammie Sunshine 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Violent Trick 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Mr. Kisses 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Doc Kane 4.50 4.4 8-1
5 4 Downrange 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Eights and Aces 3.50 4.9 9-1
8 7 Chiseled 1.80 5.1 10-1
9 8 Blind Ruckus 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Crazy Frank C 30.00 6.1 11-1
6 5 Nominal Dollars 10.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Fafa 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Miss Gracie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Isla Road 6.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Vow to Recover 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Itsmyluckycharm 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 6 Calinas Song 10.00 5.7 11-1
10 9 Charlotte the Brit 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Beechwood Ella (IRE) 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 8 Beautiful Ballad 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Great Sister Diane 12.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Zarina 4.50 8.3 16-1
3 3 Raki 15.00 10 19-1
5 5 Valley Date 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Dizzy 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Itsherluckyday 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Nanahcub 4.50 2.5 5-1
9 8 Plato 3.50 2.8 5-1
10 9 One Turn Johnny 8.00 3.8 7-1
13 12 I’am Beowulf 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Wild Fox 8.00 5.1 10-1
11 10 My G P S 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Drama in Dixie 10.00 5.5 10-1
12 11 Nathan’s Secret 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Chinomadito 30.00 6.9 13-1
6 5 Big Yes 30.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Sandys Blaze 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 6 Gimmeabreak 30.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Sundown Kid 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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