Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 14, 2019

September 14, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Marie From Parie 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 You Made It 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 La Piu Bella 2.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Flirtation Walk 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Petticoatsnpistols 10.00 7 13-1
1 1 Heningham 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Eye of the Wildcat 15.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Lady Kim 15.00 9 17-1
5 5 Missimard 20.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Caterina One 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Castle Ridge 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Call Me Jelly Roll 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fact of War 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Rule Yourself 4.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Heza Kitten 3.50 5 9-1
10 10 Bandito 8.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Closer Look 12.00 6.1 11-1
1A 1 Jag 4.50 6.3 12-1
2 2 Makes Mo Cents 12.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Gunslinger (IRE) 12.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Caladan 5.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Greek Prince 30.00 11.1 21-1
9 9 Revolutionary Road 5.00 SCRATCH
12A 12 Somekindofmagician 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hall Pass 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Won and Done 1.80 3.4 6-1
7 7 Showalter 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Threes Over Deuces 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Daily News 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Parade of Nations 30.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Cerulean Springs 12.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Grand River 2.50 3 6-1
8 8 Takemetodinner 5.00 4 7-1
4 4 El Rojo 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Lunar Image 3.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 The Mason Factor 10.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Conquistodor Fuego 30.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Hunca Rock 15.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Captain Trips 10.00 10.2 19-1
7 7 History Buff 12.00 10.8 20-1
1 1 Mr. Chesapeakecity 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Press Release 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Captain Thunder 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Smokin Hot Factor 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Padrino’s Heart 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Maranatha 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Victory Chimes 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Daystrike 3.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Sky Magician 6.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Antrim Aubrey 8.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Bustoff 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Verboten 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Hard Fought 6.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Birdsnest Party 4.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Dream Doctor 5.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Tempt Me Twice 6.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Divine Interventio 12.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Martini Kid 10.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Playing Hooky 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Jefazo 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Moonlight Shadow 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Action Everyday 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Smart Step 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ellyb 3.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Ode to Joy 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Something Magical 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Believe Indeed 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Dendrobia 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Why Now 5.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Bath And Tennis (IRE) 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Ava O 10.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Annie Rocks 8.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 West Coast Bias 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Windy City Kitty 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Wonder City 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Meet Michelle 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Amphitrite 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Shes Not Not Fast 6.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Bachelor’s Bait 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Barbara Gordon 3.50 8.1 15-1
9A 9 Orbette 5.00 12.3 23-1
6A 6 Princess Adira 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hey Prez 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Eddy Dirt 2.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Top Hat Warrior 3.50 5.8 11-1
2 2 Lucky Junior 6.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 McLean House 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Son of Aponi 5.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 C M Runaway 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gold Man 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Southside Warrior 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 My Eminence 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Incorporate 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Praise the Moon 30.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Runabout 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Worth His Salt 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Alleria 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Pigeon Creek 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Gold Cadillac 10.00 6.9 13-1
15 15 Bizness Beauty 4.50 7.3 14-1
9 9 Barton Hall 4.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Art Thief 2.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Trois Ponts 8.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Possebly a Lover 50.00 10.1 19-1
13 13 Topline 30.00 10.2 19-1
12 12 Start’er Up Billie 50.00 13 25-1
4 4 We Hap Now 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Echo of Victory 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tashmoo 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Don’t Tell Me 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Willed 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Excuse My Charisma 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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