Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 14, 2019

September 14, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cunning Munnings 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Calder Vale 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Dubnation 1.40 3.5 7-1
4 4 Corrana En Limen 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Undeniable Proof 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Endless Tale 3.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Ziyanair 20.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Temple Knights 1.40 2.6 5-1
4 4 Bachchan 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Severin 4.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Brazilian Summer 6.00 7 13-1
6 6 U S Hero 6.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Amped 20.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Bob Again 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Thin Line 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Satrapa 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 I Belong to Becky 2.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Black Storm 4.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Big Barrel 3.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Suances Secret 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Frankie Machine 2.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Passing 2.00 7 13-1
6 6 I’m Amore 8.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Buck Duane 3.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Baja Warrior 15.00 7.7 14-1
2 2 Many Treats 20.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Morton Glory 15.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Leedslimit 6.00 11.6 22-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Old Trafford 1.00 3 6-1
7 7 Jammers Justice 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Gorky Park 3.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Stay Legendary 15.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Beyond Precher 15.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Way Cool 5.00 9.3 17-1
4 4 Engagement Ring 20.00 12.3 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chasin Lucas 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 D’s Lovely Sophia 1.40 4.2 8-1
1 1 Tribal Dance 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Hotitude 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Silk From Heaven 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Violette Szabo 5.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mo Reserve 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Mutineer 5.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Go for a Ride 3.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Fay Dan 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Salah 6.00 7 13-1
7 7 C Falls 4.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Jefe 8.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Fracas 3.50 3 6-1
5 4 Rizzi’s Honors 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 3 Erebuni 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Heart of the Nile 3.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Reachreachreach 4.00 8.8 17-1
7 6 All Tea All Shade 5.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Staythirstymyamigo 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Truck Salesman 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Platinum Nights 3.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Emtech 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Railman 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Starring John Wain 8.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Union Ride 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Channel Crossing 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Concord Jet 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Big Bad Gary 15.00 8.5 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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