Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 14, 2019

September 14, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mrs. Rembrandt 2.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Viva Nevada 8.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Moon Shock 4.50 6.8 13-1
3 3 Empty House 2.50 8.3 16-1
5 5 Circus Music 4.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Miss Al Dila 10.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Blinding 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Quench My Thirst 5.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Thefundsarelow 3.50 5.3 10-1
1 5 Treasury Stock 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Daddy’s Placer 1.80 5.4 10-1
1A 6 Mr. Skittles 6.00 9.7 18-1
6 5 Caoimhe 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Paso a La Reina 2.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Bash 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 If You Only Knew 12.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Hibernia Diamond 3.50 7.1 13-1
7 7 Sugar Included 5.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Justenuff Hope 10.00 10.7 20-1
1 1 Deep Canyon 12.00 10.7 20-1
2 2 Savannah’s Dream 20.00 13.1 25-1
3 3 Dereya 20.00 13.1 25-1
5 5 Georgia Bonnet 30.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Flashonforty 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Baseline 3.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 Thomas Knight 8.00 7 13-1
10 9 Manolete 5.00 8.3 16-1
2 1 Drosselmagic 12.00 9.4 18-1
9 8 Doddsprivatelabel 15.00 9.6 18-1
3 2 Stand and Salute 10.00 10.9 21-1
8 7 Indygo Breeze 20.00 11.5 22-1
1 5 Pegasus Red 30.00 11.9 22-1
11 10 True Blue 20.00 14.1 27-1
1A 9 No More Strippers 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Controlled Fury 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 The Circle Game 1.60 3.1 6-1
1 1 Barley Jack 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Formal Class 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Celesse 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Rosie’s Notion 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Hey Mamaluke 3.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Grazen Honor 4.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Stakes) – Parx Hall Of Fame Filly And Mare Starter H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Potra Liza 1.60 2.1 4-1
3 3 Cuddle Kitten 2.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 I’m Not Joking 6.00 6.7 13-1
5 4 Atina Salsa 5.00 8.3 16-1
7 5 Friday Mass 12.00 10.9 21-1
1 1 Serious Happiness 30.00 12.4 23-1
4 4 Stay Special 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Dean’s Ticket 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Who’s Out 1.20 2.7 5-1
4 4 Wild Caramelo 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Hey Jabber Jaw 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Whateveryouwant 6.00 9.1 17-1
9 8 Get the W 4.00 9.8 18-1
2 2 A J’s Way 12.00 11.2 21-1
6 6 Strong Breeze 15.00 11.5 22-1
8 7 Popizar 8.00 11.6 22-1
7 7 Return of a Giant 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Stakes) – Parx Hall Of Fame Starter H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Salsa’s Return 2.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 His Royal Majesty 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Moon Gate Warrior 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Dirt in Your Face 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 8 Deal Driven 5.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 D T Goodie 12.00 10.1 19-1
5 5 O’Kram 20.00 10.1 19-1
2 2 Adventist 20.00 12.3 23-1
7 7 Sparty 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Dynamax Prime 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Maid of Iron 2.00 5.4 10-1
4 2 Pablo’s Dream 30.00 5.8 11-1
6 4 Bankin On an Angel 4.00 8.3 16-1
5 3 Streak of Kitten 5.00 8.8 17-1
9 6 Iwasbornawinner 6.00 9.2 17-1
7 5 She’s Sure Classy 8.00 10.8 20-1
1 1 Via Avanti 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 African Song 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Silky Appeal 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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