Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 14, 2019

September 14, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fly Valiantly 1.20 1.3 2-1
2 2 Going to B Valiant 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Jazzing Joanna 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 She Wood Be a Diva 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Mjb Firefly 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Sheza Smokin You 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Shakem Country Chick 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bodacious Leader 1.60 2.1 4-1
6 5 Miss Magic Jessica 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Make This My Favorit 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Trs Amazing Oxana 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Kt Chics Gray Lady 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Its Big Pappa to You 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cowgirlsrunningrebel 1.60 2.1 4-1
1 1 One Majestic Eagle 1.20 2.4 5-1
6 6 Aubreys Dream 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Ez Nine 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Take Me Ta Church 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Dancey Blue 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Adequan Prairie Meadows Derby Challenge S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Apollitical Mogul 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 High Time to Fly 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Jess Wagon P 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Mansory 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Maghelene 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Bhr Flashing Effort 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Thisbetterwork 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 First High Rate 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Wonderland 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 The Cookie Cartel 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Arc Prairie Meadows Distaff Challenge S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Weetonas Lafawn 1.40 2.6 5-1
6 6 Painted Dynasty 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Ima Dashin Follie 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Our Lady Wagon 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Fosse 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Another Overdraft 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Pretty and Big 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – John Deere Prairie Meadows Juvenile Challenge S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Divas First Moon 2.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Sweet Wild Time 4.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Candy Moon Fling 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 One Famous Blue 5.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Peves Eagleetta 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Baja Bandito 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Kina Big Deal 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Victory Candy 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Fastest Leader 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Anthropologi 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Bank Of America Prairie Meadows Championship Challenge S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pyc Jess Bite Mydust 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Damn Strait 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Paint My Pilot 4.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Faster Than Hasta 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Three Olives N Smoke 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Another Shot 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Dynasty Ice 123 12.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Political Candy 15.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Marfilmio 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Pollitical Form 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Apolitically Quick 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bright Paint 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Valiant Redrunner 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 First Prize List 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 No Mo Water 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Myownersbroke 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Df Moonflash Babe 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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