Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 14, 2019

September 14, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Frobisher Bay 2.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Radio Nowhere 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Suitedconnected 3.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 Meet Cute 4.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Bitethebulletbro 10.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Victor’s Way 6.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Midnite Snackattak 20.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Peggy’s Cove 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Real Money 2.00 3 6-1
6 6 Hey Congrats 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Four Aces High 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Amnesty 2.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Seventh Wonder 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Pink Lemonade 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Scattered Strikes 4.50 6.4 12-1
4 4 Hibiscus Punch 8.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Bold Venture S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sable Island 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Yorkton 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Curlin’s Honor 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 O’Kratos 20.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Ikerrin Road (IRE) 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Tringale 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Pink Lloyd 0.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Subzero Plus 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Dancing Doll 4.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 My Borrowed Angel 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 6 Dynatown 8.00 6.3 12-1
9 7 Patton’s Girl 3.00 6.9 13-1
3 2 Real Coal 5.00 6.9 13-1
6 5 Double Medal 8.00 7.6 14-1
11 9 Twitter Storm 20.00 8.5 16-1
10 8 Fact Checking 15.00 12.5 24-1
1 1 Fresh Dreams 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Touch of Emma 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Silent Empire 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Big Classic 3.00 5.4 10-1
9 7 Unclaimedtreasure 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Skynyrd 2.50 7.1 13-1
7 5 Synergized 12.00 8.9 17-1
6 4 Dulcibelle (GER) 6.00 9.9 19-1
8 6 Earthquakedirector 8.00 13 25-1
4 4 Krpan 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Meant to Tell You 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Palace Two Step 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Artie’s Princess 3.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Don’t Smile Lilah 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Romantic Gizmo 4.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Born to Be Good 8.00 8 15-1
5 5 Glamourous Girl 6.00 9.8 18-1
7 6 Golden Lotus 20.00 19.5 37-1
6 6 Top Hat Boss 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Honey Girl 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Canadian S. Presented By The Japan Racing Association

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Starship Jubilee 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Magnetic Charm (GB) 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Dixie Moon 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Touriga (BRZ) 6.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Holy Helena 2.50 9.6 18-1
5 5 Competitionofideas 1.60 9.7 18-1
7 7 Giovanna Blues 12.00 11.6 22-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 El Chairman 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Dotted Line 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Agnelli 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Priceless Will 3.50 6.1 11-1
4 4 Better Boogie 8.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Valuable Pillow 3.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Wild About Blue 20.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Sparkish 20.00 10.2 19-1
8 8 Mia’s Extortionist 6.00 11.9 22-1
9 9 Storm Chart 8.00 12.4 24-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Ricoh Woodbine Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Silent Poet 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 American Guru 30.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Synchrony 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Got Stormy 1.60 6.2 12-1
1 1 El Tormenta 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Raging Bull (FR) 3.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Made You Look 12.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Admiralty Pier 30.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Lucullan 8.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Awesometank (GB) 8.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Emmaus (IRE) 20.00 12.4 23-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Northern Dancer Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cooler Mike 20.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Tiz a Slam 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Sir Sahib 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Old Persian (GB) 1.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Focus Group 2.50 6.2 12-1
4 4 Nessy 8.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Distinct Passion 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Salieri 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Combative 3.00 4.6 9-1
12 11 Crawl From the Bar 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Get the News 4.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Kaili’s Big Boy 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Jungle Warrior 6.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Viewfinder 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Alicia’s Kid 10.00 7 13-1
8 8 Dunes of Namibia 20.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 D Magician 10.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Detroit Steel (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dance Ready 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Lilibet 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Classic Beauty 8.00 4.9 9-1
10 9 Clairessence 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Stokes 3.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Mine Fast Philly 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Playing Smart 4.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Mahone Bay 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 6 Vinyasa 12.00 8.2 16-1
6 6 Musical Flight 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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