Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 15, 2019

September 15, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Peggy Sue 1.80 2 4-1
5 5 Shak’s Hidden Gem 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Dazzling Speed 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Caralicious 10.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Too Much Drama 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Sister Emily 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Flying Pleasantly 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Daring Disguise 1.60 2 4-1
1 1 No More Miracles 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Magnesite 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Alphastest 3.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Clear the Ramp 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Implied Volatility 3.50 5.1 10-1
7 7 Capt. Courageous 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Prince Halo 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Da Berg 20.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Bulwark 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chipolata (FR) 1.20 1.9 4-1
5 4 Scottish Jig 1.60 2 4-1
4 3 Matty’s Magnum 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Xenobia (IRE) 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Sky Full of Stars (GER) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tequila Fog 3.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Cruising Strong 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Fortune’s Girl 4.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 High School Crush 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 Top Hat Invasion 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Trinity Girl 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Barker Lane 30.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Wild North 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Ama Is a Rock 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Manage My Credit 30.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 2 Curluck 1.00 1.3 3-1
9 9 Carlisle Belle 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Discreet Image 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Clockstrikestwelve 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Tayler’s the Boss 30.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Codrington 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Theodosia 20.00 4.6 9-1
10 7 Psalmody 2.50 4.7 9-1
8 6 Grand Banks 20.00 5.7 11-1
7A 7 Golconda (FR) 1.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tequila Sunday 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Off the Record 1.80 2.6 5-1
4 4 Fortune’s Fool 1.60 2.6 5-1
5 5 Missle Bomb 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Under a Spell 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Sicilia Mike 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Moshaher 10.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Shennan (IRE) 2.00 3 6-1
8 8 Tiberius Mercurius 1.80 SCRATCH
11 10 Asdaaf 20.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 Overbold 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Corcoran 30.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Sea Mast 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Compliant 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Sandy Lane Kitten 30.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Mr. Alec 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Cardiff Cay 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Timepiece 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Blues City 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Dream Bigger 0.60 2.8 5-1
3 3 Tapizearance 12.00 2.9 6-1
8 7 Big Package 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Ariesberg 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Hold My Call 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Harris Bay 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Chowda 30.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Analyzethisandthat 30.00 3.9 7-1
13 13 Durkin’s Call 8.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Manoffire 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Dowse’s Beach 1.40 4.6 9-1
6 5 Morning Breez 20.00 4.8 9-1
5A 4 Leaky Cup 10.00 5 9-1
7 6 Shiraz 3.50 5 9-1
12 12 The Crocheron Kid 30.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Outrageous Bet 30.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Discretionary Marq 5.00 6.6 12-1
11 10 Royal Asset 6.00 7.4 14-1
9 8 Mission Command 30.00 7.4 14-1
4A 4 Psychic Energy 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Binkster 4.00 SCRATCH
15A 15 Playthatfunnymusic 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 New York’s Finest 3.00 4 8-1
9 6 Banana Thief 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Colonel Tom 20.00 SCRATCH
12 8 Coltandmississippi 4.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Fear 6.00 SCRATCH
11 7 Canarsie Kid 30.00 5.9 11-1
3 2 Dalarna 6.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Sir Ballantine 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Aristocratic 30.00 SCRATCH
6 3 Mad Munnys 30.00 7.4 14-1
7 4 Ethan Hunt 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Have Another 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Samadi Sky 30.00 7.9 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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