Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 15, 2019

September 15, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kris d’Oro 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Simmard Shenanigan 2.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Lovely Girl 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Variance 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Dam Locks 6.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Tashmoo 10.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Russian Melody 3.50 8.5 16-1
4 4 We Hap Now 30.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Iam a Dancer 15.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Stormy Patriot 4.50 5 9-1
12 12 Sir Smarty 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Voodoo Valley 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Charismatic Blue 5.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Above It All 6.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Tir Na Nog 4.50 7.1 13-1
3 3 Blazing Reed 8.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Knockabout 6.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Multiple 6.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Sipping Cider 30.00 10 19-1
1 1 Odds R Against Us 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Bayano 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Glenn’s Caper 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cheetah Beach 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Moo Lah 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ticked All Daboxes 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gallanor 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Nightmare 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Awesome Park 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Payntdembluesaway 2.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Congrats Graduate 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Arbutus 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Polished Gal 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Bestatgettinbetter 5.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Chicken Dinner 10.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Tizadoozi 15.00 8 15-1
11 11 Veil Dance 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Turko Treat 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Naughty Girl 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Janneydancer 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Magical Luna 4.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Creative Alibi 3.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Notroubleatall 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Diva of Seville 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Playland 5.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Valle Luna 8.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Launch Sequence 6.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 My Lila 12.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Mrs. Awesome 15.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Warrior Queen 6.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Pictureperfect Usa 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Boots 1.80 2.1 4-1
10 10 Fort Royal 6.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Belmullet 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Egregious 15.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Monumental Vending 12.00 4.7 9-1
13 13 Game Break 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Goodluckchuck 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Dyna’s Knight 15.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Variegated 15.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Little Bay 20.00 10.6 20-1
5 5 Hit It Big 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ziggy Mon 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Catonsville 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sunman 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Marco Island 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Bobby G 4.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Top Me Off 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Christopher 6.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Bustoff 3.50 6.8 13-1
7 7 Absolved 15.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Jump Jive an Wail 5.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Seven On the Rocks 15.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Revolutionary Road 12.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Take Charge Again 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Live Aid 3.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Carson City Coin 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Rona 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Oya 5.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Tiz a Sharpie 4.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Zig 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Buddha Kai 30.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Pom Pom Girl 30.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Thirst for Quality 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Gi Jo Man 20.00 5 9-1
4 4 Total Access 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 West Coast Sky 4.50 5.8 11-1
9 9 Fifty Seven Chevy 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Just Go With It 12.00 7 13-1
7 7 Yess Pec 3.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Newly Acquired 6.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Strong and Brave 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Maryland Pride 2.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Itgot Grandma 15.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 Eastport 4.50 5.9 11-1
8 8 Seville Barber 2.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Mr. d’Angelo 6.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Paratycachaca 12.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Haz a Notion 12.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Passport 8.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Rumson Rally 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Moti 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Make Us Smile 2.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Bayou Jam 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Gone Home 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Top Hat Treason 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 First Draft 6.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Audacious Quality 4.50 7.8 15-1
4 4 Get There John 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Rockin Ron 8.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Orbidore 15.00 9.9 19-1
3 3 Draco’s Breath 20.00 12.3 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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