Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 15, 2019

September 15, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Probable 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Cali Rocks 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Chic Clementine 3.00 5.5 10-1
6 4 Lala Fleur 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Darpa 0.40 SCRATCH
4 4 Objective 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Gold Included 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 3 Samurai Charm 1.20 3.1 6-1
5 4 White Velvet 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 1 Going to Vegas 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Trouville 8.00 7 13-1
1 1 Lady On Ice 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mongolian Hero 2.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Boyson 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Super Classic 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Mongolian Legend 2.50 5.6 11-1
2 2 Ohtani 3.50 6.7 13-1
4 4 Derby Storm 8.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rocko’s Wheel 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Bellerin 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Tough It Out 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Wilshire Dude 3.50 5.8 11-1
4 4 Original Intent 10.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Full of Luck (CHI) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Catoca 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Qafilah (IRE) 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Lucky Peridot 2.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Arctic Roll (GB) 4.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Chickatini 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Still a Funny Girl 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Full Eclipse 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Special S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Acker 1.80 2.8 5-1
4 4 Zestful 1.60 3.9 7-1
3 3 Soul Beam 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 French Getaway 2.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Meistermind 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Blew by You 8.00 3 6-1
4 3 Forty Six Carats 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Joe’s Passion 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 4 Secret Maneuver 3.00 5.3 10-1
7 5 Discrete Stevie B 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Sheza Kathy 3.50 8.7 16-1
2 2 Don’t Pass 0.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Miss Bennet 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rebel Fire 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Solar Nation 4.50 3 6-1
10 10 Tizhotndusty 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Totally Tiger 2.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 El Chapin 30.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Overkoter 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Successful Command 10.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Shinny 5.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Curry Flurry 20.00 9.8 18-1
3 3 Daring Ways 20.00 10.3 19-1
11 11 Mobjack 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Competing 2.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Rockin My Mojo 4.50 6.2 12-1
6 6 Johann’s Command 6.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Cash Encounter 15.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Captain N. Barron 5.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Angry Bobby 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Hard to Come Home 5.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 All About Trump 3.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Fortune of War (GB) 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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