Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 15, 2019

September 15, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3A 2 Ain’t Wasting Time 1.40 1.7 3-1
7 5 Dynamic Dynasty 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 1 Bodeflex 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 4 Curry’s Mountain 10.00 7.7 14-1
5 3 Here Wego 12.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Justin Front 8.00 SCRATCH
4A 4 Ronin Warrior 1.40 SCRATCH
8 8 True Measure 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Mad Mary 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Baaqeya 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Glorious Mystery 1.50 4 8-1
9 8 Salsita Roja 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Pantaloni 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Rossmoor Way 8.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Skookie 12.00 8.4 16-1
7 6 Miss Rage 20.00 10.5 20-1
4 4 W W Cougar 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Darling of the Spa 1.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Li’lbito’charm 4.50 4.8 9-1
9 9 Goddess of Cash 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Posseineffecttoo 15.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Glinda 12.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Kate’s Bull’s Bay 8.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Move It Missy 6.00 10.4 20-1
4 4 Ez On the Eyes 20.00 10.6 20-1
8 8 Born to Win 20.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Shackled Romance 2.50 6.2 12-1
1 1 Pinatubo 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Awe Mun 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Threatlovesmidnite 1.80 6.8 13-1
4 4 Mystery Witness 12.00 7.5 14-1
11 10 T. C. Tomboy 30.00 9 17-1
3 3 No Hitter 6.00 9.3 17-1
7 7 Brazen Prince 15.00 9.3 18-1
8 8 Tizprocess 20.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 Bill’s Mafia 30.00 9.8 19-1
10 10 Succeed Quietly 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ell Be Eye 3.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Lady Mistress 1.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Lady Lucy Lu 5.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Kissesweetrthnwine 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Up Just in Time 4.50 8.4 16-1
5 5 Risque’s Jewel 12.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Ragazza Carina 20.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5A 3 Flashy Kyem 3.00 2 4-1
6 4 Cozy Lover 1.80 4.1 8-1
7 5 Ballivor 2.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Huascaran 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 2 Grit’n’grind 10.00 7 13-1
9 6 Won the Case 8.00 16.3 31-1
2 2 White Bluff 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 El Dulzura 30.00 SCRATCH
8A 8 Spring Emperor 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Shes a True Beauty 2.00 4.3 8-1
10 7 Princess Palomar 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 3 Miss Aja Brown 4.00 6.3 12-1
7 5 Superling 20.00 7.7 14-1
9 6 Proper Princess 15.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Billy No Sabay 30.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Gator Girl 10.00 9.8 18-1
3 3 Crystal Pier 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Pink Elephant 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Echale Salsita 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Secret Temple 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Too Much Johnnie 1.60 2.9 5-1
2 2 Start Meee 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Aspen Xtreme 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Jump for Alex 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Aspect 1.80 5.7 11-1
3 3 Intrepid Spirit 8.00 6.3 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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