Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 15, 2019

September 15, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Marten Lake 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 San Nicola Thunder 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Silent Sting 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Spanish Express 1.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 I’m Corfu 5.00 5 9-1
4 4 Forest Brother 8.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Souper Smart 1.80 3.1 6-1
4 4 Brass Compass 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Souper Stonehenge 2.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Hold’emforransom 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Magical Man 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Souper Fly Over 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Western Trouble 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fantastic Breeze 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Muskoka Giant 2.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Northern Thunder 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Frac Attack 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Muskoka Gold 4.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Indica 20.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Hostile Witness 8.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Resurgent 10.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Deed’s Legacy 4.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Tallulah Darling 3.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Bridlewise 6.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Roansmoke 10.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Conquest Bad Girl 20.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Hurricane Emily 10.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Jupiter’s Eagle 20.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Touch of Rouge 10.00 9 17-1
1 1 Wilburnrubber 20.00 9.1 17-1
8 8 You Cant Catch Her 12.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 Just Bling It 10.00 9.8 19-1
5 5 Echo in the Forest 15.00 10.3 19-1
13 13 Delly 20.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Artie My Boy 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Bazoo 4.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Have a Souper Day 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Corsi 3.50 6.1 11-1
3 3 Animal Krackers 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 All Inclusive 12.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Tomcat Black 6.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Celebratory 10.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Victory Town 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Ontario Racing S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Clear Destination 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Barilko 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Goldmine Cat 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Old Chestnut 1.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Divided Sky (IRE) 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Aye Aye Sir 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Miss Understanding 20.00 7 13-1
7 7 Chaos Kid 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Summer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pleasecallmeback 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Keep On Truckin 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Zoological 20.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Proven Strategies 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Mystic Lancelot 3.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Cucina 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 Vitalogy (GB) 8.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Decorated Invader 4.50 7.5 14-1
10 9 Talking 12.00 10.7 20-1
11 10 Cadet Connelly 20.00 10.9 21-1
9 9 Secret Stash (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hold the Applause 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Cairo Diamond 3.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Roman d’Oro 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Candy’s Dream 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Queen’s Speed 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Bossalina 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Fashion Fortune 4.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Pipestone 12.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Mission City Girl 20.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Dont Get Smart 12.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Natalma S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Abscond 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Walk In Marrakesh (IRE) 2.50 3.4 7-1
4 4 Runway Dreamer 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Diamond Sparkles 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Fair Maiden 1.20 4.7 9-1
5 5 Saratoga Vision 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Secret Stash (IRE) 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Coach Lori 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Joy’s Solution 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Golden Garter 3.50 4.8 9-1
5 3 Faith Over Fear 3.00 6.4 12-1
7 5 Marwoods War 6.00 6.6 12-1
8 6 Souper Pecan 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Sans Doubte 10.00 9 17-1
6 4 Fullthrottlevision 20.00 9.8 19-1
3 3 Irish Charm 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Appella 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Woodbine Cares S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fast Scene 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Foolish Humor 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Bayerly Seen 4.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Avie’s Samurai 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Quality Heat 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Lady Fatima 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Miss Lucy (IRE) 6.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Egyptian Nights 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 The Good Witch 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Laxmi 30.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 My Doughnut 30.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Nite Brite 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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